Cold War 2.0 (2)

A few days ago I quoted Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong of Singapore who, in his opening address to the Shangri-la 2019 Dialogue,* which is (self) described by the International Institute of Strategic Studies as “Asia's premier defence summit … [which] … has built confidence and fostered practical security cooperation, by facilitating easy communication and … Continue reading Cold War 2.0 (2)

Everyman’s Strategic Survey: Words of wisdom

You can, and everyone with an interest in the global strategic situation and, especially, the evolving relationship between America and China should watch/listen to and read Lee Hsien Loong, Prime Minister of Singapore's, address to the 2019 Shangri-la Dialogue. It stands, in my considered opinion, as a truly expert strategic survey of the current global situation … Continue reading Everyman’s Strategic Survey: Words of wisdom

Will the (possible) US-China trade deal be bad for Canada?

Two items in the Globe and Mail caught my eye: First, Adam Tooze, a professor of history, and director of the European Institute, at Columbia University writes that "Mr. Trump’s trade policy is a strange mélange. It represents not one single coherent response to globalization, but a series of reactions superimposed one on top of the … Continue reading Will the (possible) US-China trade deal be bad for Canada?

Everyman’s Strategic Survey (No 47, I think, but I may have lost count): Russia is a rogue, not a peer; China is a peer, not a rogue

James Dobbins, Howard J. Shatz, and Ali Wyne, writing for the RAND Organization, suggest, in a recent article, that "Russia Is a Rogue, Not a Peer ... [and] ... China Is a Peer, Not a Rogue." That's something I have been saying, less succinctly, for several years. "Great power competition has returned," the authors say, "China and … Continue reading Everyman’s Strategic Survey (No 47, I think, but I may have lost count): Russia is a rogue, not a peer; China is a peer, not a rogue

How to avoid a war with China

There is a very insightful article in Foreign Affairs by former Australian Prime Minister Kevin Rudd, whose views on China I have discussed before, headlined "How to Avoid an Avoidable War ~ Ten Questions About the New U.S. China Strategy." Prime Minister Rudd begins by reminding us that "This November, we will commemorate the 100th anniversary … Continue reading How to avoid a war with China

A contrarian view on Trump v. China

Yadong Liu, who is currently the CEO of CEFC Global Strategic Holdings, the NYC based investment arm of the  China Energy Fund Company (CEFC) headquartered in Shanghai, and who is also the President of the China Energy Fund Committee (USA), a think-tank that promotes research and exchanges in energy and related fields,* explains, in an … Continue reading A contrarian view on Trump v. China

If it gets better

In a private message a friend, a retired soldier and current academic, described a recent counter-terrorism conference he attended; one of the speakers (Chatham House rules so no names) gave a very optimistic presentation; that speaker was followed by a mutual acquaintance, a very senior person with good contacts in the upper levels of several … Continue reading If it gets better