Not so fast

The cover of the current edition of Foreign Affairs says it all: America, many pundits, including many in America, Britain and Canada, say is in irreversible decline. The impact of Donald J Trump, they say, is greater than the fabled US Constitution and almost 250 years of history can overcome. America is doomed to decline …

Short of war (5)

I think that a new cold war, Cold War 2.0 if you like, “managed,” as former Australian Prime Minister Kevin Rudd explained on the basis of Managed Strategic Competition, is the best and most likely way to avoid a real, deadly hot (shooting) war between China and America supported by the US-led West. I believe …

Short of War (3)

Former Australian prime minister and noted ‘China watcher’ Kevin Rudd says, in his recent article in Foreign Affairs, that Underlying all of Xi Jinping’s strategic choices lies his belief, “reflected in official Chinese pronouncements and CCP literature, that the United States is experiencing a steady, irreversible structural decline. This belief is now grounded in a …

Short of war (2)

Following on from yesterday with former Australian Prime Minister Kevin Rudd’s suggestion for how to contain China without stating an all-out shooting war, he says that amongst Xi Jinping’s goals are: First, he wants “to remain in power until 2035, by which time he will be 82, the age at which Mao passed away. Xi’s …

Cold War 2.0: Standing up for Taiwan

I want to return to a topic with which I have dealt several times: Taiwan. Further, I want to revisit an article upon which I have already commented: “American Support for Taiwan Must Be Unambiguous: To Keep the Peace, Make Clear to China That Force Won’t Stand,” By Richard Haass, president of the Council on Foreign …

Warming up Cold War 2.0

The New York Times News Service, in a report published in the Globe and Mail, reports that “The Trump administration is pushing the sale of seven large packages of weapons to Taiwan, including long-range missiles that would allow Taiwanese jets to hit distant Chinese targets in the event of a conflict, say officials familiar with …

Cold War 2.0: Stepping up the pressure

I see, in an article in the Hong Kong Press Press, that the US is stepping up the pressure on Beijing by reasserting its security guarantees to Taiwan. Now, I need to make my (longstanding) position clear. Taiwan is part of China. It is Chinese by geography, by ethnicity and by political will. But the …

There’s not much choice

“In just a few short months, the U.S.-Chinese relationship seems to have returned to an earlier, more primal age.” former Australian prime minister and noted China watcher-scholar Kevin Rudd (who I have cited, more than once, before) writes in a thought-provoking article in Foreign Affairs. “In China, Mao Zedong is once again celebrated for having …

Pushing the boundaries

I see in an article in The Economist that Russia is, once again, pushing the boundaries of internationally acceptable strategic conduct. The issue is that on 25 November 2019 Russia launched a satellite, Kosmos 2542. Then “Eleven days after its launch it disgorged another satellite, labelled Kosmos 2543 … [and, later] …  On July 15th, …

Failure after failure after failure after …

… well, you get the picture. Justin Trudeau came into office in 2015 proclaiming that Canada is Back! Of course, as recent events have shown, nothing could be further from the truth. By almost every measure Canada has fallen in wealth, power and international stature since Justin Trudeau replaced Stephen Harper at the head of …