Taiwan election

In a paper published by the Brooking Institution, Kharis Templeman of Stanford University says that "Taiwan will hold its presidential and legislative elections on January 11, 2020 ... [that's just hours from now] ... The incumbent president, Tsai Ing-wen of the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), appears increasingly likely to prevail over her main challenger, Han Kuo-yu … Continue reading Taiwan election

What next?

Terry Glavin, writing in  Maclean's magazine, says, and I fully agree, that "It may well have been capricious in the extreme for Donald Trump’s White House to order that spectacular hit in Iraq, but lets face it: the airstrike target was the Lord of the Flies. He got nothing less than he visited upon countless … Continue reading What next?

A risk worth taking

I see, in the Globe and Mail, that "China’s new envoy to Canada warned that Beijing will launch tough countermeasures against Canada should Parliament act on a planned Senate motion calling for sanctions against Chinese leaders." This seems to be the normal reaction for Ambassador Cong Peiwu who is a career diplomat who has specialized … Continue reading A risk worth taking

Neat and cool and important, too

The digital newsletter Breaking Defense published this report, a few days ago, on 21 Nov: "Warships from several NATO allies tracked and knocked down ballistic missile targets from the sea for the first time sharing targeting information across a shared alliance network ... [that, alone, is significant; planners and engineers have been talking about this since the … Continue reading Neat and cool and important, too

Warning (2)

Dr Andrew Erickson is a Professor of Strategy at the US Naval War College at Newport, Rhode Island, where officers from the United States and around the world come to study maritime warfare. In a recent article, he says that "To the extent that any nation has a grand strategy, China surely does. The vision … Continue reading Warning (2)

Warning

Professor Michael Beckley (Tufts University) sounds a warning in Foreign Affairs in an article titled "The United States Should Fear a Faltering China ~ Beijing’s Assertiveness Betrays Its Desperation." His thesis is both simple and compelling: China's seemingly inexorable rise is faltering; Although the numbers still look good by First World standards they may, in fact, … Continue reading Warning

I really don’t understand …

... what Xi Jinping and the small handful of men and women who surround him are thinking. I cannot make any strategic sense out of their handling of the Hong Kong situation. It seems to me, and I would be very grateful if someone would tell me why and how I am wrong, that a … Continue reading I really don’t understand …