Warning

Professor Michael Beckley (Tufts University) sounds a warning in Foreign Affairs in an article titled "The United States Should Fear a Faltering China ~ Beijing’s Assertiveness Betrays Its Desperation." His thesis is both simple and compelling: China's seemingly inexorable rise is faltering; Although the numbers still look good by First World standards they may, in fact, … Continue reading Warning

Canada and China

Two items in the Globe and Mail caught my eye just the other day: First, Campbell Clark says that "Dominic Barton is the catch that Justin Trudeau wanted to get last time. Now he’s going to China after times have changed ... [because] ... Two Canadians are in Chinese jails, and Beijing’s official mouthpieces regularly fire derisive … Continue reading Canada and China

War in the “grey zone”

I said, about 18 months ago, that "Western leaders like Presidents Marcon and Trump, Chancellor Merkel and Prime Ministers Abe, May, Rutte, Trudeau, Turnbull all see “war” as a binary choice ~ you’re either fighting or you’re not, while Putin and Xi see it as spectrum wherein actual armed conflict is only one of many, … Continue reading War in the “grey zone”

Two issues

John Ibbitson, writing in the Globe and Mail, touches on a couple of issues that always concern me: restoring correct relations, including free(er) trade with China and immigration policy, and he revisits his thesis, in his recent book (with Darell Bricker), Empty Planet, which says that global populations are declining, even collapsing, in China's case. "Canada’s … Continue reading Two issues

Scheer is wrong on this

I see, in a report in the Globe and Mail, that "Conservative Leader Andrew Scheer says he would continue Canada’s campaign for a seat on the United Nations Security Council if he becomes Prime Minister following this fall’s federal election." Now, I keep saying that, in order to win, Andrew Scher must deemphasize some conservative … Continue reading Scheer is wrong on this

Everyman’s Strategic Survey: Words of wisdom

You can, and everyone with an interest in the global strategic situation and, especially, the evolving relationship between America and China should watch/listen to and read Lee Hsien Loong, Prime Minister of Singapore's, address to the 2019 Shangri-la Dialogue. It stands, in my considered opinion, as a truly expert strategic survey of the current global situation … Continue reading Everyman’s Strategic Survey: Words of wisdom

This time is different*

Michael J Mazarr, who is a senior political scientist at the RAND Corporation and who was a professor and associate dean of academics at the U.S. National War College, and also was a special assistant to the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, near the very top of the Pentagon, has written a short … Continue reading This time is different*