Damned if he does

This post, from the estimable and retired senior civil servant, diplomat and political insider (he was Brian Mulroney's Chief of Staff after holding a senior appointment in both provincial and the national cabinet offices) Norman Spector pretty much sums up Justin Trudeau's dilemma: I'm not going to repeat (well, not more than just this once) … Continue reading Damned if he does

A coalition?

I have been saying, for some months now, that "The CPC might be able to form a minority government but it is equally, perhaps even more likely that Justin Trudeau, with the formal support of Jagmeet Singh, would be able to continue to govern with some support from the BQ and the Greens on an … Continue reading A coalition?

Institutions

Most experts in the world agree that strong socio-political, administrative, legal and regulatory institutions are what underpin social harmony and prosperity in successful societies. I have suggested, more than once, that China is making a strategic blunder by undermining the (limited) progress it has made in strengthening its legal and administrative institutions as it tries … Continue reading Institutions

Democracy or Brexit, or neither, or both?

Barry Campbell (no relation, as far as I know) was a Liberal Pary of Canada MP (1993-97) and is now president of Campbell Strategies in Toronto. He writes, in the Globe and Mail, that "Until Brexit, English parliamentary crises have followed a standard script. From the Magna Carta in 1215 through the 17th century Civil Wars … Continue reading Democracy or Brexit, or neither, or both?

Minds made up?

According to a report in the Toronto Sun, "There hasn’t been a major shift in voter support in the wake of an ethics commissioner report [on the prime minister's ethical failing regarding] SNC-Lavalin, but the latest numbers still don’t look good for Justin Trudeau’s Liberals." Many Canadians, it appears to me, made up their minds … Continue reading Minds made up?

Of course

The Globe and Mail reports that "A Liberal-dominated Parliamentary committee has quashed an effort by opposition parties to further probe the SNC-Lavalin affair ... [and] ... The House of Commons Ethics Committee, on which the governing Liberals hold the most seats, voted down a proposal to hear from federal Ethics Commissioner Mario Dion and up … Continue reading Of course

Storm warnings

I said, a long time ago, that I thought that many potential Conservative leaders, Rona Ambrose and John Baird, amongst them, sat out the 2017 Conservative Party leadership contest because they were convinced, and the historical evidence supports them, that Justin Trudeau, having won a solid majority in 2015, was almost guaranteed at least a … Continue reading Storm warnings