Andrew Lilico, the father of the CANZUK proposal, had it about right, I think, a few days ago. I doubt that anyone or anything can stop Britain from crashing out of the EU without any form of a formal agreement, that's what the "no-deal Brexit" means, on 31 October. It is, for 99% of British … Continue reading I think this is it …
Barry Campbell (no relation, as far as I know) was a Liberal Pary of Canada MP (1993-97) and is now president of Campbell Strategies in Toronto. He writes, in the Globe and Mail, that "Until Brexit, English parliamentary crises have followed a standard script. From the Magna Carta in 1215 through the 17th century Civil Wars … Continue reading Democracy or Brexit, or neither, or both?
I said, about 18 months ago, that "Western leaders like Presidents Marcon and Trump, Chancellor Merkel and Prime Ministers Abe, May, Rutte, Trudeau, Turnbull all see “war” as a binary choice ~ you’re either fighting or you’re not, while Putin and Xi see it as spectrum wherein actual armed conflict is only one of many, … Continue reading War in the “grey zone”
A few weeks ago, Fareed Zakaria, writing in Foreign Affairs, said "Sometime in the last two years, American hegemony died. The age of U.S. dominance was a brief, heady era, about three decades marked by two moments, each a breakdown of sorts. It was born amid the collapse of the Berlin Wall, in 1989. The end, … Continue reading The “unipolar moment,” “gratification without commitment” and the end of an “empire of ideas.”
As I have been saying over the past few days and weeks ... and months, the global strategic situation is changing, as it always does. In the last 500 years we have watched the decline Spain, then the rise and fall of the Netherlands, France, Britain, Japan, Germany and the Soviet Union and the rise … Continue reading The world is changing … Canada must change, too
Ivo H. Daalder, who is president of the Chicago Council on Global Affairs and who served as the US ambassador to NATO from 2009-2013, and James M. Lindsay, who is senior vice president, director of studies, and Maurice R. Greenberg chair at the Council on Foreign Relations, have written a provocative essay , headlined, 'The Committee to … Continue reading A G9 … or something?
In a private message a friend, a retired soldier and current academic, described a recent counter-terrorism conference he attended; one of the speakers (Chatham House rules so no names) gave a very optimistic presentation; that speaker was followed by a mutual acquaintance, a very senior person with good contacts in the upper levels of several … Continue reading If it gets better