I often cite the Globe and Mail‘s John Ibbitson; most often I cite him approvingly. Not today; and not tomorrow, either. Today’s disagreement is with his contention that Canada will and should welcome a Democratic administration in Washington (presumptively a Biden-Harris administration).
Historically Canada, as John Ibbitson says, almost never likes Democratic Party governments or politicians. They are too often protectionists, usually little more than tools of Big Labour, who wage destructive, sector-by-sector trade wars against Canada. There is nothing to suggest that a Biden-Harris administration would be in any meaningful way “good” for Canada. But Mr Ibbitson says we should welcome them because Joe Biden is NOT Donald J Trump and, I guess, because Senator Harris is a female and a visible minority and Canadians loved Barack Obama even though he was, to be charitable, a mediocre president who was no friend at all to Canada.
That’s a sad and sorry sort of an endorsement. But it’s the same sort of endorsement most Canadians gave to Barack Obama: he was black and he was not George W Bush. But he was not “good” for Canada, not in any meaningful way at all.
Donald J Trump is, without much doubt at all, the worst president in the history of the United States and he’s tied (with a half dozen others) for being the worst “leader” on the world’s stage today. He’s also not “good” for Canada in any meaningful way. Assuming Joe Biden is the Democratic candidate then I hope he wins … not because I think he will be an especially “good’ president but because I am persuaded that Donald Trump will continue to be a worse one.
The recent polls put Biden-Harris ahead of Trump~Anyone. But most polls put Hilary Clinton ahead in 2016, right up until election day, and it’s not yet Labour Day and most Americans don’t even start to think, seriously, about politics until after Labour Day. I will not count Trump out until after the votes are counted and until after the courts have ruled on the challenges.
John Ibbitson says that “It’s no secret that Mr. Biden, who is 77, may only serve one term. If so, Kamala Harris would be a strong, almost presumptive, candidate for the 2024 Democratic presidential nomination. Canadians would welcome her as president over any Republican nominee you can think of.” I really disagree with that. I suspect that if Mr Biden is elected we, Canadians, will be sick and tired of him by 2022, at the latest and we might look for someone other than Kamala Harris ~ someone like Nikki Haley ~ to save us from a USA that is just as protectionist as always.
I said, over a year ago, that I thought Senator Harris would be a good choice for the Democratic nomination in 2020 or 2024 but I was, then, confident that President Trump had enough popular support to be re-elected in 2020.
Mr Ibbitson says that Canada will welcome a renewed American interest in climate change. I never saw any evidence that the Obama-Biden administration was a whole lot more serious than is the current Trump administration about global climate change. Anyone who is serious, as Justin Trudeau is not, will, first, as Donald Trump did, abandon the entire Kyoto-Paris based global fiasco and then, as Donald Trump did not, start afresh by explaining the science and the threats to citizens and offering them an array of options, recommending the one(s) which are most likely to mitigate the impact of climate change for the most people ~ a utilitarian approach ~ at an acceptable cost.
John Ibbitson also says that “there is something approaching bipartisan consensus that China has become an aggressive power that must be contained; the damage to American power and prestige inflicted by Mr. Trump can’t simply be waved away with a sunny inaugural address.” In other words Cold War 2.0 is coming, no matter what Mr Ibbitson and some Canadian academics think, and the the only important question is: how will Canada prepare to “fight” it on America’s side? More about that, tomorrow.
In short, a Biden-Harris administration will be preferable to another four years of Donald Trump … bot only marginally preferable. But it should be not “welcome” by Canadians who actually care about Canada and the West.