European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde is a very smart person and, on Friday, according to a report by Reuters, she said that Europe “is “probably past” the worst of the economic crisis caused by the coronavirus pandemic, but the recovery will be uneven … [and] … Speaking as fears of a second wave shook investors and the general public across the world, Lagarde struck a constructive tone but … [she said] … “We probably are past the lowest point and I say that with some trepidation, because of course there could be a severe second wave.”“
Madame Legarde was, of course, speaking as one of the world’s foremost central bankers and she was staying in her lane and was talking about the economy. But I think her words were informed by the best available medical-scientific advice and they apply in the broader sense … we are “probably past” the worst of the pandemic, in medical, social and economic terms, but there may be a second wave, possibly even a third, starting, at a guess, in the fall (because there are some suggestions that warm weather might slow the spread of the coronavirus).
Despite having had a dismal national performance, compared to other countries that have adult leadership at the federal level, Canada has survived better than our neighbour to the South. That is thanks, solely, to provincial leaders …
… but Prime Minister Justin Trudeau dropped the ball early and he never did manage to recover his fumble. He has been a miserable failure. Compared to his Australian counterpart he, Justin Trudeau, is a total dummkopf:
Australia has had dozens of deaths ~ a few hundred at most ~ because Prime Minister Scott Morrison acted swiftly and decisively; Canada has had many thousands of deaths because we, the voters, elected a stupid trust-fund kid … mainly, it seemed, because he marched in gay-pride parades:
Canada’s largest province is reopening, slowly … that seems wise, based on the experience of others, including that of Québec which was hit harder and wants to reopen more quickly. The USA also seems to want to reopen more quickly than many think is wise … the USA has already been very, very badly hit, worse than almost any other nation, by the pandemic, and I fear that President Trump’s almost criminally stupid ‘leadership’ will lead it to a horrible second wave in the fall/winter of 2020. While I think that Joe Biden is almost the worst possible choice Americans can make in November, I believe that he is marginally better than Donald Trump … but then I believe that a rotted tree stump would be a better chief executive than Donald Trump.
It is time for Canadians to start taking stock. As Christine Legarde says, the worst is, probably, over. How did we do? Not well, according to early reports (see the link above). Why? Mainly, it appears to me, because we have had very weak leadership at the national level. Justin Trudeau was, always, more concerned with domestic politics and his own personal vanity project ~ that worthless, temporary, second-class seat on the United Nations Security Council ~ than he ever was about his country. The clear lesson from the COVID-19 pandemic is that Justin Trudeau is NOT a leader. For its own sake and for the sake of the country the Liberal Party of Canada needs to depose him, by having enough members of the sitting, elected caucus withdraw their support, before the next election … which he may be tempted to call this fall because a majority seems within easy reach.
The Conservatives need to be ready for a snap election, called right around Labour Day, by either moving their leadership vote forward, right now, to the first week in July or, better, by cancelling the current leadership election and telling the sitting caucus to elect a new, permanent leader from within their own ranks … sorry Dr Leslyn Lewis and Peter MacKay, but only Erin O’Toole and Derek Sloan stood for election in 2019 and they should be amongst the few who can be considered for election in 2020. But there may be other contenders from within the caucus: Candice Bergen, rookie MP Raquel Dancho (like Mr Sloan just elected in 2019), Michelle Rempel-Garner and Pierre Poilievre all might find some support in caucus. One thing the Conservative Party is nor short of is talent.
As Madame Legarde says, the recovery will “be “uneven”, “incomplete” and “transformational”, meaning some companies in industries …[will] … never recover while others would come out stronger.” That applies to Canada, too. Our economy and society will be transformed. Already, Canada is, potentially, facing a staggering Trillion Dollar Deficit. This is not the time for a weak-willed, self-indulgent trust-fund-kid to be running the show. Canada needs to roll up its sleeves and get ready for a long, hard road back to fiscal good-health. It is time for real change … change for the better.