Things we don’t know …

Earlier today I suggested that the Trudeau government doesn’t really have a solid strategic deAdder_Feb15_1602112rchrappreciation of the situation and that they are likely to fail a pretty basic, simple test that retired Colonel Lee Hammond and Professor Alexander Moens set out in separate papers: being prepared to deal with unforeseen threats. My fear is that the Prime Minister’s Office has, already, “situated the appreciation” so that the result will be a weakened (and less expensive) military that will be aimed at (useless) UN peacekeeping missions. I really do not trust that Mr Butts and Ms Telford …

… will even hear, much less understand and act on the advice of non-partisan strategic and military professionals but will, rather, act to strengthen the electoral fortunes of their real patron, Premier Kathleen Wynne.

My fears are amplified as I observe that the one of the “unknowns” that we ought to be able to classify as a thing about which we know we don’t know enough is getting more and more complicated.

I have commented before on China’s actions in the South China Sea and I have complained that it is getting a “free ride,” so far. The disputes in the South China Sea involve several nations …

Disputed-claims-in-the-south-china-sea-Agence-France-Presse-oki

… and now Indonesia, which has its own disputes with China, has joined the fray. The Wall Street Journal reports that Indonesia has blown up 23 fishing boats that it arrested for fishing in its own waters …

BN-NK113_0405in_J_20160405054806

Indonesian authorities blow up three foreign fishing boats off the coast of Kuala Langsa in Aceh, Indonesia, part of synchronized blasts nationwide.
PHOTO: EUROPEAN PRESSPHOTO AGENCY

… they weren’t Chinese fishing boats; 13 were Vietnamese and ten were Malaysian. They were probably intruding into Indonesian waters because they were afraid to confront the Chinese in waters that are in dispute … who can blame them?

The situation is getting more tense and more “actors’ are involved and there is, already, an “arms race” in the Pacific as Australia, China, Philippines and Vietnam are all building up navy and coast guard forces. Put this alongside Putin’s aggressive adventurism in Eastern Europe and one must wonder: what good, on wonders, will this …

… do when the conflict that threatens peace in a region where Canada has vital interests looks like this?

… and like this?

Canada needs many modern, sophisticated warships, a first rate (and larger) army  and equally modern fleets of aircraft to help “keep the peace” in these circumstances.

Since I believe that it is most likely that Prime Minister Trudeau wants to ignore the world and focus his foreign and defence policy attention on one objective …

New York… a quite worthless seat in the United Nations Security Council, then I also believe that it is essential that candidates for the leadership of the Conservative Party of Canada enunciate a clear vision of our role in the world: one that puts realism and Canada’s national (vital) interests first. They can start by being both realistic and non-partisan about security, balancing only our vital interests in the world with our real fiscal resources.

One thought on “Things we don’t know …”

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s